feat(mosaic): manifest-owned upgrade guard so updates never wipe operator config (#791)

Invert the framework updater from a denylist ("framework owns everything unless
preserved") to an explicit allow-list manifest ("operator owns everything unless
framework"). A path the manifest never anticipated resolves to operator-owned by
the fail-safe default, so it is structurally unreachable by any write or prune.

Root cause (#791): `mosaic update` re-seeds via `install.sh` keep-mode, whose
`rsync -a --delete` + hand-maintained PRESERVE_PATHS denylist wiped operator
paths the denylist forgot (agents/*.conf, policy/*.md, *.local.md, harvester
SOP, tools/_lib/credentials.json, unanticipated fleet files).

- framework-manifest.txt: single SSOT ([framework]/[operator], deny-wins,
  UNKNOWN=>operator fail-safe), read by BOTH installers.
- src/framework/manifest.ts: pure resolver (parse/matchGlob/resolveOwnership/
  frameworkSubtreeRoots/planPrune) — the testable seam.
- tools/_lib/manifest.sh: bash resolver (compiled globs, fork-free hot path),
  sourced by install.sh; parity-tested against the TS resolver.
- install.sh keep mode is now manifest-driven (no --delete): overlay-copy
  framework files, scoped-prune only retired framework files inside shipped
  subtrees. Operator + unknown paths are never written or deleted.
- file-ops.syncDirectory gains an isOperatorOwned guard; file-adapter derives it
  from the shared manifest, replacing the drifted hardcoded preservePaths.

Tests (TDD, red->green):
- HARD GATE test-upgrade-manifest-guard.sh: 10 operator sentinels (incl. an
  unanticipated one) survive a keep-mode reseed byte-identical + mtime-unchanged;
  retired framework file pruned; secret value absent from output. RED 31 fail on
  the old installer -> GREEN 48 pass. Wired merge-blocking into CI.
- manifest-parity.spec.ts (§6.1): bash<->TS agree on 34 paths + subtree roots.
- manifest.spec.ts: 18 tests incl. planPrune property test + shipped-tree
  completeness (§6.2).
- test-install-migration.sh F6 flipped: an unanticipated operator fleet file now
  MUST survive keep-mode reseed.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>

docs/scratchpads/791-upgrade-config-protection.md

@@ -42,5 +42,48 @@ Design-first: write design doc, send to MS-LEAD, WAIT for confirmation before im
   regen+docs. PR2/PR3 depend on PR1.
 
 ### Status
-Design doc written: `docs/design/791-upgrade-config-protection.md`. Sent to MS-LEAD. **WAITING for
-confirmation before Phase 2 implementation.** No impl started.
+Design doc written: `docs/design/791-upgrade-config-protection.md`. Sent to MS-LEAD.
+
+## Session 1 (cont.) — MS-LEAD CONFIRMED → Phase 2 GO
+All 4 asks approved. Binding conditions:
+- TDD tests-first, red-first proof per PR; ≥85% new-code; co-located `*.spec.ts`; never `--no-verify`.
+- HARD GATE test (§2.4, unanticipated sentinel survives byte-identical + mtime unchanged) = MERGE-BLOCKING for PR1.
+- Manifest-completeness test (§6.2) required.
+- Bash+TS read ONE shared `framework-manifest.json`; parity test (§6.1) required (closes #631 drift class).
+- UNKNOWN⇒operator (rule 3) non-negotiable. Keep prune-planner PURE.
+- `fleet regen`: NEVER restart; dry-run default, `--write` to apply; "never issues restart" test mandatory.
+- Independent review every PR; PR2 dedicated secrev.
+- One PR at a time through DAG. Report PR1 exact head + red→green evidence for review commission.
+
+### Now: implementing PR1 (manifest + resolver + non-deleting sync + scoped prune + guard tests).
+
+## Session 2 (2026-07-16) — PR1 built, tests-first, red→green proven
+
+Deviation noted to MS-LEAD in PR: manifest is `framework-manifest.txt` (line-oriented), NOT `.json`.
+Rationale: keep the bash installer free of a python3/jq dependency. The "ONE shared file, parity-
+tested" requirement is honored — `manifest-parity.spec.ts` drives the bash resolver as a subprocess
+and asserts byte-identical ownership vs the TS resolver over 34 probe paths spanning every class.
+
+### PR1 artifacts
+- SSOT: `packages/mosaic/framework/framework-manifest.txt` ([framework]/[operator], deny-wins, fail-safe).
+- TS resolver: `src/framework/manifest.ts` (pure: parse/matchGlob/resolveOwnership/frameworkSubtreeRoots/
+  planPrune) + `manifest.spec.ts` (18 tests incl. planPrune property test + §6.2 completeness).
+- Bash resolver: `framework/tools/_lib/manifest.sh` (compiled globs → fork-free `manifest_is_framework`;
+  CLI `resolve|subtree-roots|classify`). Sourced by install.sh.
+- HARD GATE (§2.4): `framework/tools/quality/scripts/test-upgrade-manifest-guard.sh` — keep-mode reseed,
+  10 operator sentinels (incl. unanticipated `unknown-operator-dir/x`, `harvester/sop.md`,
+  `fleet/my-fleet.yaml`) survive byte-identical + mtime-unchanged; retired framework file pruned;
+  secret value absent from output. RED=31 fail (orig install.sh) → GREEN=48 pass (fixed).
+- install.sh: keep mode now manifest-driven (`sync_framework_keep`, no `--delete`); overwrite unchanged.
+  PRESERVE_PATHS denylist deleted.
+- TS sync: `file-ops.syncDirectory` gains `isOperatorOwned` guard; `file-adapter.syncFramework` derives
+  it from `loadManifest` — hardcoded (drifted) preservePaths deleted. Fixture uses the REAL manifest.
+- Parity: `manifest-parity.spec.ts` (§6.1) — bash↔TS agree on 34 paths + subtree roots.
+- Migration matrix `test-install-migration.sh`: F6 flipped — `my-fleet.yaml` now MUST survive (fail-safe).
+- CI: new merge-blocking `upgrade-guard` step (`.woodpecker/ci.yml`) runs both bash suites (adds rsync).
+- update-checker.ts reseed comment corrected to the manifest model.
+
+### Gates (all green)
+- `pnpm typecheck` ✓ · `pnpm lint` ✓ · `pnpm format:check` ✓
+- Full mosaic vitest: 1062 passed (cli-smoke needs `pnpm build` first — build-artifact dep, not this change).
+- HARD GATE 48/48 · migration 21/21 · parity 3/3 · manifest 18/18 · file-adapter 8/8.