fix(fleet): restore ConditionPathExists dropped by my own red-check

Self-inflicted and worth recording rather than quietly amending.

To prove the new tests were red without the fix I ran
`git checkout origin/next -- <fleet.ts> <[email protected]>`. That writes
the *index*, not just the working tree. Copying my versions back afterwards
restored the working tree only, so the unit file sat staged-as-origin/next and
modified-in-tree, and the next commit (67f5014c) committed the index — silently
removing the ConditionPathExists line that 463745e3 had added.

Nothing caught it. The spec reads the file from the working tree, so it stayed
10/10 green against a HEAD that no longer had the guard. Found by reading
`git status` after the push, not by any gate.

Verified by content, not by assumption:
  origin/next  0 occurrences
  463745e3     1
  67f5014c     0   <- the regression
  this commit  1

Refs #1237

REPORT-A1207.md

@@ -0,0 +1,71 @@
+# REPORT A1207
+
+Date: 2026-08-13
+Branch: `fix/869-lease-probe-timeout`
+Starting head: `2373a5ad345fb316ad2460f6390baab1f45ba08f`
+Base: `216cd72226cd9ee17eea461cfe7cd0e010a22f02`
+
+## What changed
+
+- Added Python behavior tests using isolated temporary directories and marker-writing fake `mosaic` executables. They prove that the supplied `PATH` wins over ambient `os.environ["PATH"]`, and that absent or empty supplied `PATH` values do not search ambient paths, platform defaults, or the current directory.
+- Bound Python override behavior with executable fakes: a valid `MOSAIC_LEASE_VERSION_PROBE_COMMAND` wins over supplied and ambient `PATH`; an invalid override returns `None` without PATH fallback.
+- Added a Python runner binding test that captures kwargs and requires `timeout=10.0`. Existing timeout, transport-error, and nonzero-exit checks remain fail-closed with `None`.
+- Added the optional TypeScript dependency-injection seam `CapabilityProbeExecFile`, defaulting to the existing real `execFileSync` implementation. Production callers have no behavior change.
+- Added TypeScript tests that capture child-process options and require exactly `timeout: 10_000`. Injected timeout, spawn-error, nonzero-exit, unparseable JSON, and malformed-object cases all return `null`.
+- Removed the ambient no-dependency TypeScript smoke case that could execute a built checkout's real CLI. Default resolver and supervisor behavior retain their isolated tests, while capability transport tests now use an isolated artifact or the injected transport.
+
+No Python production code changed relative to `2373a5ad`. The only production delta is the optional TypeScript child-process injection seam.
+
+## Hermeticity incident and correction
+
+An initial ambient-lookup mutation run exposed that the pre-existing Python "not resolvable" test left ambient process PATH uncontrolled. On this host, that mutation resolved and executed the host `mosaic` capability probe. A post-build intermediate TypeScript run also let the pre-existing no-dependency smoke case execute the checkout's built `dist/cli.js` capability probe. No `claude` process was run. I then isolated the Python test's ambient PATH, removed the TypeScript ambient smoke case, repeated the PATH mutation using only marker-writing temporary fakes, and repeated the final suites without either real probe path.
+
+## Mutation evidence
+
+Each mutation was applied independently, its focused suite was run, and the production source was restored before the final run.
+
+| Mutation                                                                                   | Result              | Reddened test name(s)                                                                                                                                                                                                      |
+| ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ | ------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
+| `shutil.which("mosaic", path=environ.get("PATH", ""))` to ambient `shutil.which("mosaic")` | RED, three failures | `ProbeActivationCapabilityTest.test_supplied_path_wins_over_ambient_process_path`; `ProbeActivationCapabilityTest.test_absent_or_empty_supplied_path_never_falls_back_or_executes` for both absent and empty PATH subtests |
+| Python `PROBE_TIMEOUT_SECONDS: 10.0` to `2.0`                                              | RED, one failure    | `ProbeActivationCapabilityTest.test_probe_passes_ten_second_timeout_to_runner`                                                                                                                                             |
+| TypeScript `LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_TIMEOUT_MS: 10_000` to `2_000`                          | RED, one failure    | `defaultCapabilityProbe > passes the exact ten-second timeout to the injected child-process transport`                                                                                                                     |
+
+## Final test run
+
+Dependencies were installed first with `pnpm install --frozen-lockfile`. Workspace dependencies were then built with `pnpm --filter '@mosaicstack/mosaic...' run build` so package type declarations were available.
+
+```text
+$ cd packages/mosaic && python3 src/mutator-gate/version_coupling_unittest.py
+...................
+----------------------------------------------------------------------
+Ran 19 tests in 0.007s
+
+OK
+
+$ pnpm exec vitest run src/commands/lease-activation-probe.spec.ts
+✓ src/commands/lease-activation-probe.spec.ts (20 tests) 80ms
+Test Files  1 passed (1)
+Tests       20 passed (20)
+```
+
+```text
+$ pnpm exec prettier --check packages/mosaic/src/commands/lease-activation-probe.ts packages/mosaic/src/commands/lease-activation-probe.spec.ts
+Checking formatting...
+All matched files use Prettier code style!
+
+$ pnpm --filter @mosaicstack/mosaic lint
+> eslint src
+
+$ pnpm --filter @mosaicstack/mosaic typecheck
+> tsc --noEmit
+
+$ python3 -m py_compile packages/mosaic/src/mutator-gate/version_coupling_unittest.py packages/mosaic/framework/tools/lease-broker/activation_version_gate.py
+
+$ git diff --check
+```
+
+All commands above exited zero.
+
+## Ambiguities skipped
+
+None.

packages/mosaic/framework/systemd/user/mosaic-agent@.service

@@ -4,6 +4,14 @@ Documentation=https://git.mosaicstack.dev/mosaicstack/stack
 Requires=mosaic-tmux-holder.service
 After=mosaic-tmux-holder.service
 PartOf=mosaic-tmux-holder.service
+# Do not attempt a seat before its generated env exists. `install` enables this
+# unit (WantedBy=default.target) but on a roster-v2 fleet the reconciler owns the
+# generated env, so between `install` and the first `apply`/`regen --write` there
+# is a boot window where ExecStart would run against an absent env file and the
+# launcher would fail the unit. A skipped unit is the honest state for "enabled
+# but not yet configured"; systemd re-evaluates the condition on every start, so
+# the seat comes up on the next start once the reconciler has written env.
+ConditionPathExists=%h/.config/mosaic/fleet/agents/%i.env.generated
 
 [Service]
 Type=oneshot

packages/mosaic/framework/tools/lease-broker/activation_version_gate.py

@@ -62,7 +62,14 @@ EXPECTED_ACTIVATION_CAPABILITY: Final[ActivationCapability] = {
 # capability as compact JSON.
 LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_COMMAND: Final = "__lease-capability"
 
-PROBE_TIMEOUT_SECONDS: Final = 2.0
+# Budget for the out-of-process `mosaic __lease-capability` probe. The CLI
+# is a Node program whose cold start alone measures 2.2-2.3s on a mid-range
+# workstation (sb-it-1-dt, 2026-08-13), so a 2s budget made every launch on
+# such hosts fail closed with the #869 skew message even though the
+# capability matched. The timeout only bounds the pathological hang case —
+# the happy path returns as soon as the probe exits — so a generous budget
+# costs nothing on healthy hosts.
+PROBE_TIMEOUT_SECONDS: Final = 10.0
 
 # Override hook: a full shell-style command line (parsed with `shlex.split`)
 # to run INSTEAD of resolving `mosaic` on PATH and appending the probe
@@ -88,7 +95,13 @@ def _resolve_probe_command(environ: Mapping[str, str]) -> list[str] | None:
     if override:
         parsed = shlex.split(override)
         return parsed or None
-    resolved = shutil.which("mosaic")
+    # Resolve against the PROVIDED environment's PATH, not the ambient
+    # os.environ. Before this, a test passing a hermetic environ still
+    # resolved (and spawned) the host's real `mosaic` — masked only on hosts
+    # where the real probe happened to exceed the old 2s timeout. No PATH in
+    # the provided environment means nothing is resolvable (fail-closed),
+    # matching the probe's overall contract.
+    resolved = shutil.which("mosaic", path=environ.get("PATH", ""))
     if resolved is None:
         return None
     return [resolved, LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_COMMAND]

packages/mosaic/src/commands/fleet-roster-v2-dispatch.spec.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,323 @@
+import { execFile } from 'node:child_process';
+import { mkdir, mkdtemp, readFile, readdir, rm, stat, writeFile } from 'node:fs/promises';
+import { tmpdir } from 'node:os';
+import { join, resolve } from 'node:path';
+import { Command } from 'commander';
+import { afterEach, describe, expect, it, vi } from 'vitest';
+import { registerFleetCommand, type CommandResult, type CommandRunner } from './fleet.js';
+
+/**
+ * #1237: the v1-only commands (`ps`, `install`, `install-systemd`, `add`,
+ * `remove`) rejected a roster-v2 fleet outright, so a greenfield v2 box could
+ * never get its units placed. These tests pin the three behaviours that fix
+ * gives it, and the two it deliberately does NOT give it.
+ *
+ * The load-bearing negative is that `install` on v2 writes no generated env:
+ * the reconciler owns that file through projectRosterV2AgentGeneratedEnv, and a
+ * second writer here — necessarily through the v1 mapping — is exactly the
+ * drift the #791 single-SSOT invariant exists to prevent.
+ */
+
+const rosterV2 = `
+version: 2
+generation: 4
+transport: tmux
+tmux:
+  socket_name: mosaic-fleet
+  holder_session: _holder
+defaults:
+  working_directory: /srv/mosaic
+  runtime: pi
+runtimes:
+  pi:
+    reset_command: /new
+agents:
+  - name: coder0
+    alias: Coder 0
+    class: code
+    runtime: pi
+    provider: openai
+    model: gpt-5.6-sol
+    reasoning: high
+    tool_policy: code
+    working_directory: /srv/mosaic
+    persistent_persona: false
+    reset_between_tasks: true
+    lifecycle:
+      enabled: true
+      desired_state: stopped
+    launch:
+      yolo: true
+  - name: coder1
+    alias: Coder 1
+    class: code
+    runtime: pi
+    provider: openai
+    model: gpt-5.6-sol
+    reasoning: medium
+    tool_policy: code
+    working_directory: /srv/other
+    persistent_persona: false
+    reset_between_tasks: true
+    lifecycle:
+      enabled: true
+      desired_state: stopped
+    launch:
+      yolo: true
+`;
+
+let tempHome: string | undefined;
+const savedHome = process.env.HOME;
+const savedMosaicHome = process.env.MOSAIC_HOME;
+
+afterEach(async (): Promise<void> => {
+  vi.restoreAllMocks();
+  process.exitCode = undefined;
+  if (savedHome === undefined) delete process.env.HOME;
+  else process.env.HOME = savedHome;
+  if (savedMosaicHome === undefined) delete process.env.MOSAIC_HOME;
+  else process.env.MOSAIC_HOME = savedMosaicHome;
+  if (tempHome) await rm(tempHome, { recursive: true, force: true });
+  tempHome = undefined;
+});
+
+/**
+ * A HOME with a roster-v2 fleet and nothing else — the greenfield shape, before
+ * anything has been installed, applied or started.
+ */
+async function v2Home(): Promise<string> {
+  tempHome = await mkdtemp(join(tmpdir(), 'mosaic-fleet-v2-dispatch-'));
+  process.env.HOME = tempHome;
+  delete process.env.MOSAIC_HOME;
+  const mosaicHome = join(tempHome, '.config', 'mosaic');
+  for (const directory of ['fleet', 'fleet/agents', 'fleet/roles']) {
+    await mkdir(join(mosaicHome, directory), { recursive: true, mode: 0o700 });
+  }
+  await writeFile(join(mosaicHome, 'fleet', 'roster.yaml'), rosterV2, { mode: 0o600 });
+  await writeFile(join(mosaicHome, 'fleet', 'roles', 'code.md'), '`class: code`\n\n# code\n', {
+    mode: 0o600,
+  });
+  return mosaicHome;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Stands in for a box where nothing is running: every systemctl and tmux probe
+ * fails the way it does before the holder has ever started. `ps` must survive
+ * this — it is the command an operator reaches for to find out *why* there is
+ * no seat, so it has to report the emptiness rather than fail on it.
+ */
+const greenfieldRunner: CommandRunner = async (command): Promise<CommandResult> => {
+  if (command === 'tmux') {
+    return { stdout: '', stderr: 'no server running on /tmp/tmux-1000/mosaic-fleet', exitCode: 1 };
+  }
+  return { stdout: '', stderr: '', exitCode: 1 };
+};
+
+function program(runner: CommandRunner = greenfieldRunner): Command {
+  const result = new Command();
+  result.exitOverride();
+  registerFleetCommand(result, { runner, frameworkRoot: resolve(process.cwd(), 'framework') });
+  return result;
+}
+
+function capture(): string[] {
+  const lines: string[] = [];
+  vi.spyOn(console, 'log').mockImplementation((value: string): void => {
+    lines.push(value);
+  });
+  return lines;
+}
+
+async function exists(path: string): Promise<boolean> {
+  try {
+    await stat(path);
+    return true;
+  } catch {
+    return false;
+  }
+}
+
+describe('mosaic fleet ps — roster v2', (): void => {
+  it('lists every v2 agent on a greenfield box with nothing running, and does not throw', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    await v2Home();
+    const lines = capture();
+
+    await expect(
+      program().parseAsync(['node', 'mosaic', 'fleet', 'ps', '--json']),
+    ).resolves.toBeDefined();
+
+    const rows = JSON.parse(lines.join('\n')) as {
+      name: string;
+      runtime: string;
+      alias?: string;
+      paneAlive: boolean;
+      source: string;
+    }[];
+    expect(rows.map((row) => row.name).sort()).toEqual(['coder0', 'coder1']);
+    // The v2 roster's per-agent fields must survive the read model, not be
+    // flattened into defaults.
+    expect(rows.every((row) => row.runtime === 'pi')).toBe(true);
+    expect(rows.find((row) => row.name === 'coder0')?.alias).toBe('Coder 0');
+    // Nothing is running, and that is a report, not an error.
+    expect(rows.every((row) => row.paneAlive === false)).toBe(true);
+    expect(rows.every((row) => row.source === 'roster')).toBe(true);
+    expect(process.exitCode ?? 0).toBe(0);
+  });
+});
+
+describe('mosaic fleet install — roster v2', (): void => {
+  it('places the tool files and unit templates', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    const mosaicHome = await v2Home();
+    capture();
+
+    await expect(
+      program().parseAsync(['node', 'mosaic', 'fleet', 'install', '--no-enable']),
+    ).resolves.toBeDefined();
+
+    // Units live in the systemd user dir, not under the Mosaic home.
+    const systemdUserDir = join(tempHome!, '.config', 'systemd', 'user');
+    for (const unit of [
+      'mosaic-tmux-holder.service',
+      '[email protected]',
+      '[email protected]',
+    ]) {
+      expect(await exists(join(systemdUserDir, unit))).toBe(true);
+    }
+    const launcher = join(mosaicHome, 'tools', 'fleet', 'start-agent-session.sh');
+    expect(await exists(launcher)).toBe(true);
+    expect((await stat(launcher)).mode & 0o777).toBe(0o755);
+  });
+
+  it('writes NO generated env — that file belongs to the reconciler (#791)', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    const mosaicHome = await v2Home();
+    capture();
+
+    await program().parseAsync(['node', 'mosaic', 'fleet', 'install', '--no-enable']);
+
+    const agentDir = join(mosaicHome, 'fleet', 'agents');
+    expect(await readdir(agentDir)).toEqual([]);
+  });
+
+  it('tells the operator which command does own the env', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    await v2Home();
+    const lines = capture();
+
+    await program().parseAsync(['node', 'mosaic', 'fleet', 'install', '--no-enable']);
+
+    expect(lines.join('\n')).toContain('mosaic fleet apply');
+  });
+});
+
+describe('[email protected]', (): void => {
+  const unitPath = resolve(process.cwd(), 'framework', 'systemd', 'user', '[email protected]');
+
+  /** The single `ConditionPathExists=` value declared by the unit template. */
+  async function conditionPath(): Promise<string> {
+    const unit = await readFile(unitPath, 'utf8');
+    const matches = unit.match(/^ConditionPathExists=(.+)$/gm) ?? [];
+    expect(matches).toHaveLength(1);
+    return matches[0]!.slice('ConditionPathExists='.length).trim();
+  }
+
+  it('will not attempt a seat before the reconciler has written its env', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    // The pairing that makes "install writes no env" safe: install enables the
+    // unit (WantedBy=default.target) but does not start it, so without this
+    // condition a reboot between `install` and the first `apply` would run
+    // ExecStart against an absent env file and fail every seat unit.
+    expect(await conditionPath()).toBe('%h/.config/mosaic/fleet/agents/%i.env.generated');
+  });
+
+  /**
+   * The two halves of the guard's *effect*, which no assertion on the literal
+   * string can cover on its own.
+   *
+   * Measured end to end on a real box (canary, 2026-08-16) rather than inferred:
+   * with the condition, `systemctl --user start mosaic-agent@<name>` on an agent
+   * with no generated env returns rc=0, `Result=success`, `ConditionResult=no`,
+   * and journals "skipped, unmet condition check". With the condition removed by
+   * drop-in and nothing else changed, the same start returns rc=1,
+   * `Result=exit-code`, `ExecMainStatus=64`, and the unit enters `failed`.
+   *
+   * systemd is not available in this suite, so these two tests pin the parts
+   * that can drift in code: the condition naming a *different* file than the one
+   * the fleet actually writes, and the launcher quietly becoming tolerant of an
+   * absent env — either of which turns the condition into decoration while the
+   * literal-string assertion above still passes.
+   */
+  it('guards exactly the file the fleet writes, so the two cannot drift apart', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    const mosaicHome = await v2Home();
+    const rendered = (await conditionPath()).replace('%h', tempHome!).replace('%i', 'coder0');
+
+    // The path an installed fleet actually places for this agent.
+    expect(rendered).toBe(join(mosaicHome, 'fleet', 'agents', 'coder0.env.generated'));
+  });
+
+  it('guards a real failure — the launcher rejects an absent generated env', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    await v2Home();
+    await program().parseAsync(['node', 'mosaic', 'fleet', 'install', '--no-enable']);
+
+    // Exactly what ExecStart runs, against the state the condition exists to
+    // catch: unit enabled, reconciler has not written env yet.
+    const launched = await new Promise<{ code: number | null; stderr: string }>((settle) => {
+      const child = execFile(
+        '/bin/bash',
+        [
+          '--noprofile',
+          '--norc',
+          join(tempHome!, '.config', 'mosaic', 'tools', 'fleet', 'start-agent-session.sh'),
+          'coder0',
+        ],
+        { env: { HOME: tempHome!, MOSAIC_AGENT_NAME: 'coder0', PATH: '/usr/bin:/bin' } },
+        (_error, _stdout, stderr) => {
+          settle({ code: child.exitCode, stderr });
+        },
+      );
+    });
+
+    expect(launched.code).not.toBe(0);
+    expect(launched.stderr).toContain('missing-file');
+  });
+});
+
+describe('mosaic fleet add / remove — roster v2', (): void => {
+  it('add refuses, and names the two-step v2 sequence instead of inventing defaults', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    await v2Home();
+
+    await expect(
+      program().parseAsync([
+        'node',
+        'mosaic',
+        'fleet',
+        'add',
+        'coder2',
+        '--runtime',
+        'pi',
+        '--class',
+        'code',
+      ]),
+    ).rejects.toThrow(/mosaic fleet create[\s\S]*mosaic fleet apply/);
+  });
+
+  it('remove refuses, and names delete plus apply', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    await v2Home();
+
+    await expect(
+      program().parseAsync(['node', 'mosaic', 'fleet', 'remove', 'coder1']),
+    ).rejects.toThrow(/mosaic fleet delete coder1[\s\S]*mosaic fleet apply/);
+  });
+
+  // Note: this one passes on the unmodified tree too — there `remove` throws in
+  // the v1 parser, before it can touch anything. It is a regression guard on the
+  // ordering of the new guard clause, not evidence that the fix works.
+  it('refuses BEFORE mutating the roster', async (): Promise<void> => {
+    const mosaicHome = await v2Home();
+    const rosterPath = join(mosaicHome, 'fleet', 'roster.yaml');
+    const before = await readFile(rosterPath, 'utf8');
+
+    await expect(
+      program().parseAsync(['node', 'mosaic', 'fleet', 'remove', 'coder1']),
+    ).rejects.toThrow();
+
+    expect(await readFile(rosterPath, 'utf8')).toBe(before);
+  });
+});

packages/mosaic/src/commands/fleet.ts

@@ -34,6 +34,7 @@ export {
   resolveInstalledFleetRosterPath,
 } from '../fleet/fleet-roster-v1.js';
 export type { FleetAgent, FleetRoster } from '../fleet/fleet-roster-v1.js';
+import { parseRosterV2 } from '../fleet/roster-v2.js';
 import {
   registerFleetAgentCrudCommands,
   type FleetAgentCrudCommandDeps,
@@ -820,7 +821,7 @@ export function buildEnableLingerCommand(user: string): string[] {
  */
 export async function enableFleetUnits(
   runner: CommandRunner,
-  roster: FleetRoster,
+  roster: { readonly agents: readonly { readonly name: string }[] },
   opts: { enable?: boolean },
 ): Promise<void> {
   if (opts.enable === false) {
@@ -1527,7 +1528,8 @@ export function registerFleetCommand(program: Command, deps: FleetCommandDeps =
     .option('--no-enable', 'Skip enabling units for boot-survival')
     .action(async (opts: { enable?: boolean }) => {
       await installFleet(cmd, frameworkRoot);
-      const roster = await loadRosterForCommand(cmd);
+      // Unit enablement needs agent names only, so it reads either version.
+      const roster = await loadRosterReadModel(cmd);
       await enableFleetUnits(runner, roster, opts);
     });
 
@@ -1537,7 +1539,8 @@ export function registerFleetCommand(program: Command, deps: FleetCommandDeps =
     .option('--no-enable', 'Skip enabling units for boot-survival')
     .action(async (opts: { enable?: boolean }) => {
       await installFleet(cmd, frameworkRoot);
-      const roster = await loadRosterForCommand(cmd);
+      // Unit enablement needs agent names only, so it reads either version.
+      const roster = await loadRosterReadModel(cmd);
       await enableFleetUnits(runner, roster, opts);
     });
 
@@ -1688,7 +1691,9 @@ export function registerFleetCommand(program: Command, deps: FleetCommandDeps =
     .action(async (opts: { json?: boolean }) => {
       const commandOpts = cmd.opts<{ mosaicHome: string; roster?: string }>();
       const activePaths = resolveFleetPaths(commandOpts.mosaicHome);
-      const roster = await loadRosterForCommand(cmd);
+      // ps only reads, so it takes the version-agnostic read model rather than
+      // the v1 parser, which rejects a v2 roster outright.
+      const roster = await loadRosterReadModel(cmd);
       const { tenant_id, host } = getDefaultTenantAndHost();
       const nowMs = Date.now();
 
@@ -1908,6 +1913,16 @@ export function registerFleetCommand(program: Command, deps: FleetCommandDeps =
           start: boolean;
         },
       ) => {
+        if (await usesRosterV2ControlPlane(cmd)) {
+          // command.error, not a bare throw: this is operator guidance, and a
+          // bare throw reaches the top level uncaught and prints it under a Node
+          // stack trace. Measured on canary — the message is the whole point of
+          // the refusal, so it has to arrive readable.
+          cmd.error(rosterV2MutationGuidance('add', 'create', name), {
+            code: 'fleet.roster-v2',
+            exitCode: 1,
+          });
+        }
         if (!VALID_FLEET_RUNTIMES.includes(opts.runtime)) {
           throw new Error(
             `Invalid runtime "${opts.runtime}". Valid runtimes: ${VALID_FLEET_RUNTIMES.join(', ')}.`,
@@ -1973,6 +1988,12 @@ export function registerFleetCommand(program: Command, deps: FleetCommandDeps =
     .description('Remove an agent from the fleet roster')
     .option('--keep-files', 'Skip deleting env and heartbeat files')
     .action(async (name: string, opts: { keepFiles?: boolean }) => {
+      if (await usesRosterV2ControlPlane(cmd)) {
+        cmd.error(rosterV2MutationGuidance('remove', 'delete', name), {
+          code: 'fleet.roster-v2',
+          exitCode: 1,
+        });
+      }
       const commandOpts = cmd.opts<{ mosaicHome: string; roster?: string }>();
       const activePaths = resolveFleetPaths(commandOpts.mosaicHome);
       const rosterPath = await resolveRosterPath(commandOpts.mosaicHome, commandOpts.roster);
@@ -2331,7 +2352,9 @@ export function registerFleetAgentCommands(
 async function installFleet(cmd: Command, frameworkRoot: string): Promise<void> {
   const activePaths = resolveFleetPaths(cmd.opts<{ mosaicHome: string }>().mosaicHome);
   assertDefaultMosaicHomeForSystemd(activePaths.mosaicHome);
-  const roster = await loadRosterForCommand(cmd);
+  // Read model first: every file this function places is roster-independent, and
+  // the v1 parser would reject a v2 roster before any of them were written.
+  const roster = await loadRosterReadModel(cmd);
   await ensureFleetHolderIdentity(activePaths.mosaicHome);
   await mkdir(activePaths.fleetToolsDir, { recursive: true });
   await mkdir(activePaths.tmuxToolsDir, { recursive: true });
@@ -2391,16 +2414,30 @@ async function installFleet(cmd: Command, frameworkRoot: string): Promise<void>
     join(activePaths.systemdUserDir, '[email protected]'),
   );
 
-  for (const agent of roster.agents) {
+  // On roster v2 the reconciler owns the generated env: `apply` writes it and
+  // `regen` rebuilds it, both from projectRosterV2AgentGeneratedEnv. Writing it
+  // here too — necessarily through the v1 mapping — would be the third writer of
+  // one file and would break the #791 single-SSOT invariant. So v2 gets the tool
+  // files and the units, and nothing else.
+  if (roster.version === 2) {
+    console.log(
+      `Installed fleet tools and systemd units for ${roster.agents.length} agent(s). ` +
+        `Generated env is owned by the reconciler on roster v2 — run: mosaic fleet apply --expected-generation <n>`,
+    );
+    return;
+  }
+
+  const v1Roster = await loadRosterForCommand(cmd);
+  for (const agent of v1Roster.agents) {
     await writeAgentEnvironmentProjection({
       mosaicHome: activePaths.mosaicHome,
       agentEnvDir: activePaths.agentEnvDir,
       agentName: agent.name,
-      generated: generateAgentEnvValues(roster, agent),
+      generated: generateAgentEnvValues(v1Roster, agent),
     });
   }
 
-  console.log(`Installed fleet files for ${roster.agents.length} agent(s).`);
+  console.log(`Installed fleet files for ${v1Roster.agents.length} agent(s).`);
 }
 
 async function loadRosterForCommand(cmd: Command): Promise<FleetRoster> {
@@ -2427,6 +2464,77 @@ async function usesRosterV2ControlPlane(cmd: Command): Promise<boolean> {
   );
 }
 
+/**
+ * `add`/`remove` and `create`/`delete` are not two spellings of one operation.
+ * The v1 pair edits the roster *and* drives systemd; the v2 pair is documented
+ * as changing desired state "without runtime actions", leaving convergence to
+ * `apply`. `add` also collects four fields where a v2 agent requires eleven, so
+ * routing it to `create` would mean inventing provider, alias, reasoning and
+ * tool-policy defaults on the operator's behalf. Refusing with the real command
+ * is honest; silently guessing an agent's provider is not.
+ */
+function rosterV2MutationGuidance(
+  v1Command: 'add' | 'remove',
+  v2Command: 'create' | 'delete',
+  name: string,
+): string {
+  const target = v2Command === 'delete' ? ` ${name}` : '';
+  return (
+    `mosaic fleet ${v1Command} does not operate on a roster-v2 fleet. ` +
+    `Roster v2 separates desired state from convergence:\n` +
+    `  1. mosaic fleet ${v2Command}${target} --expected-generation <current> ` +
+    `${v2Command === 'create' ? "--agent '<json>' " : ''}` +
+    `(edits the roster only)\n` +
+    `  2. mosaic fleet apply --expected-generation <new> (converges systemd and tmux)\n` +
+    `Read the current generation with: mosaic fleet status`
+  );
+}
+
+/**
+ * The read-only fields shared by roster v1 and v2, for the commands that only
+ * ever *read* the roster (`ps`, and unit enablement inside `install`).
+ *
+ * This is deliberately NOT a v2→v1 downshift. A downshifted `FleetRoster` would
+ * be accepted by `generateAgentEnvValues`, and that would make a third writer of
+ * `fleet/agents/<name>.env.generated` — through the v1 mapping — breaking the
+ * #791 single-SSOT invariant that {@link projectRosterV2AgentGeneratedEnv} is
+ * documented to hold. Keeping the read model this small makes that misuse
+ * impossible: there is nothing here to write a roster or an env file back from.
+ */
+interface FleetRosterReadModel {
+  readonly version: 1 | 2;
+  readonly tmux: { readonly socketName: string; readonly holderSession: string };
+  readonly agents: readonly {
+    readonly name: string;
+    readonly alias?: string;
+    readonly runtime: string;
+  }[];
+}
+
+/** Reads either roster version into the shared read-only view. */
+async function loadRosterReadModel(cmd: Command): Promise<FleetRosterReadModel> {
+  const opts = cmd.opts<{ mosaicHome: string; roster?: string }>();
+  const path = await resolveRosterPath(opts.mosaicHome, opts.roster);
+  if (!(await usesRosterV2ControlPlane(cmd))) {
+    const v1 = await loadRosterAtPath(cmd, path);
+    return {
+      version: 1,
+      tmux: { socketName: v1.tmux.socketName, holderSession: v1.tmux.holderSession },
+      agents: v1.agents,
+    };
+  }
+  try {
+    const v2 = parseRosterV2(await readFleetRosterText(path), 'yaml');
+    return {
+      version: 2,
+      tmux: { socketName: v2.tmux.socketName, holderSession: v2.tmux.holderSession },
+      agents: v2.agents,
+    };
+  } catch (error) {
+    reportFleetRosterConfigurationError(cmd, error);
+  }
+}
+
 async function loadRosterFromAgentCommand(
   command: Command,
   mosaicHomeOverride?: string,

packages/mosaic/src/commands/lease-activation-probe.spec.ts

@@ -7,11 +7,13 @@ import { fileURLToPath } from 'node:url';
 import {
   LEASE_ACTIVATION_CAPABILITY,
   LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_COMMAND,
+  LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_TIMEOUT_MS,
   defaultCapabilityProbe,
   defaultResolveCliEntry,
   defaultSupervisorProbe,
   leaseEnforcementActivatable,
   registerLeaseCapabilityProbe,
+  type CapabilityProbeExecFile,
   type LeaseActivationCapability,
   type SupervisorProbeResult,
 } from './lease-activation-probe.js';
@@ -35,6 +37,17 @@ const presentSupervisor: SupervisorProbeResult = {
   socketPath: '/run/user/1000/mosaic-lease/broker.sock',
 };
 
+function withScratchCli<T>(run: (cliPath: string) => T): T {
+  const scratchDir = mkdtempSync(join(tmpdir(), 'mosaic-lease-capability-probe-'));
+  try {
+    const cliPath = join(scratchDir, 'cli.js');
+    writeFileSync(cliPath, '// isolated fake; injected execFile means this is never executed\n');
+    return run(cliPath);
+  } finally {
+    rmSync(scratchDir, { recursive: true, force: true });
+  }
+}
+
 describe('leaseEnforcementActivatable', () => {
   it('is false when the activation capability is absent (null)', () => {
     const result = leaseEnforcementActivatable({
@@ -100,15 +113,6 @@ describe('leaseEnforcementActivatable', () => {
     });
     expect(result).toBe(true);
   });
-
-  it('uses the real default probes when no deps are injected (does not throw)', () => {
-    // No live broker / built CLI is guaranteed in a test environment, so this
-    // only asserts the predicate degrades to a safe boolean rather than
-    // throwing — the fail-closed behavior itself is covered by the injected
-    // cases above.
-    expect(() => leaseEnforcementActivatable()).not.toThrow();
-    expect(typeof leaseEnforcementActivatable()).toBe('boolean');
-  });
 });
 
 describe('defaultCapabilityProbe', () => {
@@ -127,6 +131,61 @@ describe('defaultCapabilityProbe', () => {
     expect(result).toBeNull();
   });
 
+  it('passes the exact ten-second timeout to the injected child-process transport', () => {
+    withScratchCli((cliPath) => {
+      let captured:
+        | {
+            file: string;
+            args: string[];
+            options: Parameters<CapabilityProbeExecFile>[2];
+          }
+        | undefined;
+      const execFile: CapabilityProbeExecFile = (file, args, options) => {
+        captured = { file, args, options };
+        return JSON.stringify(LEASE_ACTIVATION_CAPABILITY);
+      };
+
+      const result = defaultCapabilityProbe({ resolveCliEntry: () => cliPath, execFile });
+
+      expect(result).toEqual(LEASE_ACTIVATION_CAPABILITY);
+      expect(captured).toEqual({
+        file: process.execPath,
+        args: [cliPath, LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_COMMAND],
+        options: {
+          encoding: 'utf-8',
+          timeout: 10_000,
+          stdio: ['ignore', 'pipe', 'ignore'],
+        },
+      });
+      expect(captured?.options.timeout).toBe(LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_TIMEOUT_MS);
+    });
+  });
+
+  it.each([
+    ['timeout', Object.assign(new Error('timed out'), { code: 'ETIMEDOUT' })],
+    ['spawn error', Object.assign(new Error('spawn failed'), { code: 'ENOENT' })],
+    ['nonzero exit', Object.assign(new Error('child exited 1'), { status: 1 })],
+  ])('returns null (fail-closed) on child-process %s', (_failure, error) => {
+    withScratchCli((cliPath) => {
+      const execFile: CapabilityProbeExecFile = () => {
+        throw error;
+      };
+
+      expect(defaultCapabilityProbe({ resolveCliEntry: () => cliPath, execFile })).toBeNull();
+    });
+  });
+
+  it.each([
+    ['unparseable JSON', 'not-json'],
+    ['malformed object', JSON.stringify({ name: LEASE_ACTIVATION_CAPABILITY.name })],
+  ])('returns null (fail-closed) on %s output', (_failure, output) => {
+    withScratchCli((cliPath) => {
+      const execFile: CapabilityProbeExecFile = () => output;
+
+      expect(defaultCapabilityProbe({ resolveCliEntry: () => cliPath, execFile })).toBeNull();
+    });
+  });
+
   describe('positive path — injected resolver, isolated scratch dir (never the real dist/)', () => {
     // A prior version of this test staged the stub cli.js at the package's
     // REAL resolved dist/ path and relied on afterEach to clean up "only

packages/mosaic/src/commands/lease-activation-probe.ts

@@ -55,6 +55,19 @@ export const LEASE_ACTIVATION_CAPABILITY: LeaseActivationCapability = {
 /** Hidden CLI probe subcommand name — wired via {@link registerLeaseCapabilityProbe}. */
 export const LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_COMMAND = '__lease-capability';
 
+/**
+ * Budget for the out-of-process capability probe. The probe launches a fresh
+ * Node process on the built CLI entrypoint, whose cold start alone measures
+ * 2.2-2.3s on a mid-range workstation (sb-it-1-dt, 2026-08-13) — so the
+ * previous 2s budget made the probe time out and report NO capability on
+ * such hosts, failing every launch with the #869 skew message even though
+ * the capability matched. The timeout only bounds the pathological hang
+ * case; the happy path returns as soon as the probe exits. Mirrors
+ * PROBE_TIMEOUT_SECONDS in the enforcement half
+ * (framework/tools/lease-broker/activation_version_gate.py).
+ */
+export const LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_TIMEOUT_MS = 10_000;
+
 function capabilityMatches(candidate: LeaseActivationCapability | null): boolean {
   return (
     candidate !== null &&
@@ -110,12 +123,28 @@ export function defaultResolveCliEntry(
   return join(dirname(mainEntry), 'cli.js');
 }
 
+/** Narrow injectable seam for the synchronous child process used by the
+ * capability probe. */
+export type CapabilityProbeExecFile = (
+  file: string,
+  args: string[],
+  options: {
+    encoding: BufferEncoding;
+    timeout: number;
+    stdio: ['ignore', 'pipe', 'ignore'];
+  },
+) => string;
+
 /** Injectable inputs for {@link defaultCapabilityProbe}. */
 export interface CapabilityProbeDeps {
   /** Resolve the CLI entrypoint (`cli.js`) to probe. Defaults to
    * {@link defaultResolveCliEntry}. Inject to point at an isolated scratch
    * location in tests — never at the real package's `dist/`. */
   resolveCliEntry?: () => string;
+  /** Execute the resolved CLI entrypoint. Defaults to the real
+   * `execFileSync`. Inject so transport behavior and options can be tested
+   * without spawning a process. */
+  execFile?: CapabilityProbeExecFile;
 }
 
 /**
@@ -139,9 +168,10 @@ export function defaultCapabilityProbe(
     const cliEntry = resolveCliEntry();
     if (!existsSync(cliEntry)) return null;
 
-    const output = execFileSync(process.execPath, [cliEntry, LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_COMMAND], {
+    const execFile: CapabilityProbeExecFile = deps.execFile ?? execFileSync;
+    const output = execFile(process.execPath, [cliEntry, LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_COMMAND], {
       encoding: 'utf-8',
-      timeout: 2000,
+      timeout: LEASE_CAPABILITY_PROBE_TIMEOUT_MS,
       stdio: ['ignore', 'pipe', 'ignore'],
     });
 

packages/mosaic/src/mutator-gate/version_coupling_unittest.py

@@ -24,11 +24,15 @@ from __future__ import annotations
 
 import importlib.util
 import io
+import os
+import shlex
 import subprocess
 import sys
+import tempfile
 import unittest
 from contextlib import redirect_stderr
 from pathlib import Path
+from unittest import mock
 
 
 TOOLS_DIR = Path(__file__).parents[2] / "framework/tools/lease-broker"
@@ -57,6 +61,20 @@ def matching_capability() -> dict[str, object]:
     return dict(VERSION_GATE.EXPECTED_ACTIVATION_CAPABILITY)
 
 
+def write_fake_mosaic(directory: Path, marker: Path) -> Path:
+    directory.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
+    executable = directory / "mosaic"
+    executable.write_text(
+        "#!/bin/sh\n"
+        f"printf '%s\\n' executed >> {shlex.quote(str(marker))}\n"
+        "printf '%s\\n' "
+        "'{\"name\":\"lease-runtime-activation\",\"version\":1}'\n",
+        encoding="utf-8",
+    )
+    executable.chmod(0o755)
+    return executable
+
+
 class AssertActivationCapabilityMatchesTest(unittest.TestCase):
     """Unit-level coverage of `activation_version_gate.py`'s own assertion,
     isolated from the launch-runtime.py seam it is wired into below."""
@@ -110,11 +128,102 @@ class ProbeActivationCapabilityTest(unittest.TestCase):
     handling — never spawns a real `mosaic` process."""
 
     def test_returns_none_when_mosaic_is_not_resolvable_on_path(self) -> None:
-        result = VERSION_GATE.default_probe_activation_capability(
+        # Keep even a deliberate ambient-lookup mutation away from any host
-            {"PATH": "/nonexistent-bin-dir-for-869-c4-test"}
+        # installation. The dedicated hermeticity tests below provide fake
-        )
+        # ambient executables and markers.
+        with mock.patch.dict(
+            os.environ, {"PATH": "/nonexistent-ambient-bin-dir-for-869-c4-test"}
+        ):
+            result = VERSION_GATE.default_probe_activation_capability(
+                {"PATH": "/nonexistent-bin-dir-for-869-c4-test"}
+            )
         self.assertIsNone(result)
 
+    def test_supplied_path_wins_over_ambient_process_path(self) -> None:
+        with tempfile.TemporaryDirectory() as temporary:
+            root = Path(temporary)
+            supplied_marker = root / "supplied.marker"
+            ambient_marker = root / "ambient.marker"
+            supplied_bin = root / "supplied-bin"
+            ambient_bin = root / "ambient-bin"
+            write_fake_mosaic(supplied_bin, supplied_marker)
+            write_fake_mosaic(ambient_bin, ambient_marker)
+
+            with mock.patch.dict(os.environ, {"PATH": str(ambient_bin)}):
+                result = VERSION_GATE.default_probe_activation_capability(
+                    {"PATH": str(supplied_bin)}
+                )
+
+            self.assertEqual(result, matching_capability())
+            self.assertTrue(supplied_marker.exists())
+            self.assertFalse(ambient_marker.exists())
+
+    def test_absent_or_empty_supplied_path_never_falls_back_or_executes(self) -> None:
+        with tempfile.TemporaryDirectory() as temporary:
+            root = Path(temporary)
+            ambient_marker = root / "ambient.marker"
+            current_directory_marker = root / "current-directory.marker"
+            ambient_bin = root / "ambient-bin"
+            current_directory = root / "current-directory"
+            write_fake_mosaic(ambient_bin, ambient_marker)
+            write_fake_mosaic(current_directory, current_directory_marker)
+            original_directory = Path.cwd()
+
+            try:
+                os.chdir(current_directory)
+                with mock.patch.dict(os.environ, {"PATH": str(ambient_bin)}):
+                    for supplied_environment in ({}, {"PATH": ""}):
+                        with self.subTest(environ=supplied_environment):
+                            result = VERSION_GATE.default_probe_activation_capability(
+                                supplied_environment
+                            )
+                            self.assertIsNone(result)
+                            self.assertFalse(ambient_marker.exists())
+                            self.assertFalse(current_directory_marker.exists())
+            finally:
+                os.chdir(original_directory)
+
+    def test_valid_override_wins_and_invalid_override_does_not_fall_back_to_path(
+        self,
+    ) -> None:
+        with tempfile.TemporaryDirectory() as temporary:
+            root = Path(temporary)
+            supplied_marker = root / "supplied.marker"
+            ambient_marker = root / "ambient.marker"
+            override_marker = root / "override.marker"
+            supplied_bin = root / "supplied-bin"
+            ambient_bin = root / "ambient-bin"
+            override_bin = root / "override-bin"
+            write_fake_mosaic(supplied_bin, supplied_marker)
+            write_fake_mosaic(ambient_bin, ambient_marker)
+            override_executable = write_fake_mosaic(override_bin, override_marker)
+
+            with mock.patch.dict(os.environ, {"PATH": str(ambient_bin)}):
+                result = VERSION_GATE.default_probe_activation_capability(
+                    {
+                        "PATH": str(supplied_bin),
+                        VERSION_GATE.MOSAIC_COMMAND_OVERRIDE_VAR: str(override_executable),
+                    }
+                )
+                self.assertEqual(result, matching_capability())
+                self.assertTrue(override_marker.exists())
+                self.assertFalse(supplied_marker.exists())
+                self.assertFalse(ambient_marker.exists())
+
+                override_marker.unlink()
+                result = VERSION_GATE.default_probe_activation_capability(
+                    {
+                        "PATH": str(supplied_bin),
+                        VERSION_GATE.MOSAIC_COMMAND_OVERRIDE_VAR: str(
+                            root / "invalid-override" / "mosaic"
+                        ),
+                    }
+                )
+                self.assertIsNone(result)
+                self.assertFalse(override_marker.exists())
+                self.assertFalse(supplied_marker.exists())
+                self.assertFalse(ambient_marker.exists())
+
     def test_override_command_is_parsed_and_the_probe_subcommand_is_not_double_appended(
         self,
     ) -> None:
@@ -135,6 +244,29 @@ class ProbeActivationCapabilityTest(unittest.TestCase):
         self.assertEqual(result, {"name": "lease-runtime-activation", "version": 1})
         self.assertEqual(captured, [["/fake/mosaic", "__lease-capability"]])
 
+    def test_probe_passes_ten_second_timeout_to_runner(self) -> None:
+        captured_argv: list[str] = []
+        captured_kwargs: dict[str, object] = {}
+
+        class FakeCompleted:
+            returncode = 0
+            stdout = '{"name": "lease-runtime-activation", "version": 1}'
+
+        def fake_run(argv: list[str], **kwargs: object) -> FakeCompleted:
+            captured_argv.extend(argv)
+            captured_kwargs.update(kwargs)
+            return FakeCompleted()
+
+        result = VERSION_GATE.default_probe_activation_capability(
+            {VERSION_GATE.MOSAIC_COMMAND_OVERRIDE_VAR: "/fake/mosaic"},
+            run=fake_run,
+        )
+
+        self.assertEqual(result, matching_capability())
+        self.assertEqual(captured_argv, ["/fake/mosaic"])
+        self.assertEqual(captured_kwargs["timeout"], 10.0)
+        self.assertEqual(captured_kwargs["check"], False)
+
     def test_fails_closed_on_nonzero_exit_malformed_json_and_missing_fields(self) -> None:
         class NonZeroExit:
             returncode = 1
@@ -174,7 +306,7 @@ class ProbeActivationCapabilityTest(unittest.TestCase):
 
     def test_fails_closed_on_timeout_and_transport_error(self) -> None:
         def timeout_run(*_args: object, **_kwargs: object) -> None:
-            raise subprocess.TimeoutExpired(cmd="mosaic", timeout=2.0)
+            raise subprocess.TimeoutExpired(cmd="mosaic", timeout=10.0)
 
         def oserror_run(*_args: object, **_kwargs: object) -> None:
             raise OSError("no such file or directory")